{"id":22684,"date":"2018-11-21T15:25:23","date_gmt":"2018-11-21T15:25:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/?p=22684"},"modified":"2018-11-21T15:25:23","modified_gmt":"2018-11-21T15:25:23","slug":"world-economy-to-slow-down-in-2019-due-to-trade-wars-oecd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/?p=22684","title":{"rendered":"World economy to slow down in 2019 due to trade wars: OECD"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"body-200771816342556199\" readability=\"117.087650954\">\n<p class=\"speakable\">The global economy has passed its peak and faces a slowdown driven by trade disputes and higher interest rates, according to a global economic watchdog.<\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable\">The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), which advises many of the world&#8217;s richest economies, on Wednesday said it has cut its 2019 global growth forecast to 3.5 percent from 3.7 percent as predicted earlier.<\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable\">The OECD also warned that if the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/country\/united-states.html\">United States<\/a>\u00a0were to <a class=\"InternalLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2018\/09\/slaps-tariffs-200bn-china-goods-trade-war-escalates-180918000824791.html\">hike\u00a0tariffs\u00a0to 25 percent<\/a> on all Chinese imports, as Trump has threatened, the world economic growth could fall to close to 3 percent in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>US President Donald Trump slapped tariffs on many trade partners and escalated a tit-for-tat dispute with <a class=\"InternalLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/country\/china.html\">China<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The growth slowdown is expected to be worst in non-OECD countries, with many emerging-market economies likely to see capital outflows as the US Federal Reserve gradually raises interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>The OECD cut its outlook for countries at risk such as <a class=\"InternalLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/country\/brazil.html\">Brazil<\/a>, <a class=\"InternalLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/country\/russia.html\">Russia<\/a>, <a class=\"InternalLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/country\/turkey.html\">Turkey<\/a> and <a class=\"InternalLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/country\/south-africa.html\">South Africa<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re returning to the long-term trend. We&#8217;re not expecting a hard landing, however, there&#8217;s a lot of risks. A soft landing is always difficult,&#8221; OECD chief economist Laurence Boone told Reuters news agency.<\/p>\n<h2>Global slowdown<\/h2>\n<p>The Paris-based agency said that while labour markets are in good health in major economies like the US, trade and investment have taken a hit from higher tariffs.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Trade conflicts and political uncertainty are adding to the difficulties governments face in ensuring that economic growth remains strong, sustainable and inclusive,&#8221;\u00a0OECD chief Angel Gurria said.<\/p>\n<p>A full-blown trade war and the resulting economic uncertainty could knock as much as 0.8 percent off global gross domestic product by 2021, the OECD estimated.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"imagecontainer item\" data-image-url=\"http:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/mritems\/Images\/2018\/3\/22\/8ea79996666347b1a8fb4cc5c204257a_18.jpg\">\n<table class=\"image\" border=\"0\">\n<tbody readability=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/mritems\/Images\/2018\/3\/22\/8ea79996666347b1a8fb4cc5c204257a_18.jpg\" border=\"0\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr readability=\"2\">\n<td class=\"caption\">US President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on China in September [File: Reuters]<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Trimming China&#8217;s forecast, OECD said its growth would slow from 6.6 percent to a 30-year low of 6.0 percent in 2020 in the face of higher US tariffs.<\/p>\n<p>It warned that &#8220;a much sharper slowdown in Chinese growth would damage global growth significantly, particularly if it were to hit financial market confidence&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Though at the source of the current tensions, the US economy was expected to fare better than most other major economies.<\/p>\n<p>The OECD&#8217;s 2018 and 2019 forecast for the US remained unchanged. It said growth in the world&#8217;s biggest economy would slow from nearly 3.0 percent this year to slightly more than 2.0 percent in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>In <a class=\"InternalLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/country\/united-kingdom.html\">Britain<\/a>, the OECD forecast growth would pick up from 1.3 percent this year to 1.4 percent in 2019.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The global economy has passed its peak and faces a slowdown driven by trade disputes and higher interest rates, according to a global economic watchdog. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), which advises many of the world&#8217;s richest economies, on Wednesday said it has cut its 2019 global growth forecast to 3.5 percent&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":22685,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-middle_east_news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22684","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=22684"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22684\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/22685"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=22684"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=22684"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qatar-news.org\/qatarnewsEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=22684"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}